Showing posts with label Fantasy. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Fantasy. Show all posts

Wednesday, February 2, 2011

Making a Running Back by Committee Work For Your Fantasy Football Team

This article will explore the newest twist for fantasy football owners - the running back by committee (RBBC). In the past, most NFL teams have had one feature back who received approximately 30 carries a game. The thinking was that a runner needed that many carries to establish a rhythm and run effectively. Today's game has changed. The RBBC situation is now so common almost all teams utilize it. The thinking is that the RBBC allows backs to stay fresh. In addition, the RBBC is often implemented with a bruising power back and a quick scat back runner; a combination intended to keep the opposing defense off balance by switching up running styles.

What does this mean for fantasy football? In past years, fantasy football was completely dominated by the running back position. A good RB was a lock to touch the ball multiple times a game as well as to score more TDs than every other position. With the RBBC, that is no longer true. So what is one to do? Is it best to draft the entire committee or spread your RBs around in hopes that you draft two high performers? Lets explore the options:

The Home Run Strategy - Draft the Best RBs Regardless of RBBC Scenario
PROS : If you do not have to deal with injuries great, you have an excellent shot to win your league. You will have the most valuable player in the RBBC from different teams.
CONS: While you may have come into the season with the best RB on two different teams, if one goes down to injury you can quickly find yourself in a tough situation.

The Anti-Wall Street Risk Adverse Strategy
PROS: Here you try to draft an entire team's committee. If one of the players gets hurt you instantly have a feature back.
CONS: If there is not an injury you are stuck with part time production from two players for the season.

The Ace Rothstein Strategy - The Educated Bettor
PROS: This strategy says you draft players who are second in the committee, but play alongside another player with a history of injury. Ideally you would be to try to get one feature back and pair him with a number of #2's who have a realistic chance to step in at some point in the season.
CONS: The risk here is that the #2, never becomes a #1.

Like investing, the strategy you choose to employ should be based on your level of comfort with risk. We recommend the Ace Rothstein theory, as the #2 that becomes a #1 is often the breakout story of the year come playoff time.
Having fully explored the RBBC situation there are still a few old school running backs who dominate carries and do not need to worry about having carries or even worse goal carries stolen.

non RBBC RBs
All-Day AP
Turner the Burner
MJD
Matt Forte
S.Jackson
C.Portis
K.Smith
R.Grant

The other 24 NFL teams use some form of the RBBC. To summarize, following the Ace Rothstein theory we would target one of the eight backs listed above, then go after a WR and QB and finally look to pair your RB with a number of second string RBBC backs who run alongside an injury risk.




For more fantasy football analysis check out BleacherCreatureRotoTalk.com
Fantasy Football

Friday, January 14, 2011

Fantasy Football Picks - How Many Quarterbacks is Too Many on the Roster?

Where you wondering how many quarterbacks you should plan for when creating your fantasy football picks? The answer is generally related to whether you are in a league that starts one or two quarterbacks and the size of your roster. Generally, the answer to this question is usually three, but you could do better with two.

Standard leagues only require one starting QB, so my question is, why would you need three? You could even think about not even keeping two? It all depends upon the situation of your team and situation of your league.

Here's what that means: You have two quarterbacks on your roster. You also have a RB and WR that you really don't think you are going to need and aren't performing well. Team A has a QB who just got injured and the other QB on his roster has a bye. If possible, you may want to sweep up the QB who is playing this week and stash him on your roster to make Team A have to choose another option for the week. This is a situation where keeping three QB's on your roster might be acceptable, but it is certainly not the norm.

Another reason you may want to consider keeping three QB's is in the event that the talent pool at the other positions isn't that great. There are leagues where you can be in a draft and by the time it gets to the final three or four rounds, there are no RB's or WR's really worthy of taking a chance on. This is a case where picking up or drafting a third QB may be beneficial, but overall, the answer is still, three is too many.

When evaluating your fantasy football picks a good backup QB is usually all you need. The only thing to keep in mind is not to draft a QB who has the same bye week as your starter. This is fruitless. You are hopefully only going to need your backup QB once a year. This is why keeping three is useless, unless there is a real good reason for it.

This is also why some people believe in the theory of only carrying one QB. A big part of this strategy is, again, who is left on the waiver wire. If there are two or three decent QB's left on the free agent market, you can just pick one up when your QB has a bye, so it might not be a bad thing to carry only one QB.

The question becomes, is your roster full of players that are better than anyone left on the free agent list? Remember, the ultimate goal in fantasy football is to build a team. You want to obtain the best players that it is possible for you to have at every position. Since there are more choices in receivers and running backs, it may not be smart to waste a roster spot on a third QB.

In leagues that start two QB's, you will almost always want to carry three QB's, although sometimes two is acceptable as well. First of all, let me point out that you should really think twice about any league that has more than 10 teams and requires two starting QB's.

There are only 32 teams in the NFL. If you have a 10 team league and everyone has to start two QB's that leaves 12. If everyone has one backup, that's 30, leaving only two starting QB's on the waiver wire. Again, making sure your QB's don't have the same bye week is absolutely crucial. This is why even in ten team leagues there will likely be a restriction placed that no team can carry more than three QB's.

Also, when you finalize your fantasy football picks, be aware of your bye weeks is critical to having a fighting chance of winning your fantasy league every week. You can see why joining a two quarterback league with more than 10 teams can become a fiasco.

So, to sum it all up for you, drafting and keeping two QB's on your roster is probably the best scenario. While there are circumstances where three could be acceptable. However, three QB's is usually a wasted slot.




Wondering just how to get started playing fantasy football? Here's 2 key strategies to making the best fantasy football picks. Sign up for my free fantasy football picks and tips at http://JohnnyNFL.com.

Sunday, November 28, 2010

Great NFL Fantasy Football Action - How to Pick Your Team

So you're now the manager of your own football team in the National Football League. You are the owner and the manager at the same time so you have twice the responsibility to maintain a winning or at least a competitive team. Even if all of this is just NFL Fantasy Football, the thrill, excitement and the satisfaction is equally the same as that of the big league. And all good team managers know what is the most important: having the best players to start with.

While it is not the end of the world if your NFL Fantasy Football team ends up with not that great a lineup. You will never know what can happen in a season. All teams can be plagued by injuries, close calls or simply have a less than lucky season. The point is, it is not impossible for your team to have a great season even if you start with less impressive players for your NFL Fantasy Football team.

How To Pick Your Team

There are a lot of things that you should consider when you're picking for players in your NFL Fantasy Football team. Research is the key term here and you have to understand what your team and players have gone through in the previous season. You will have to know your team played well the last time, if they were winning, then by how much? Who were the key players in your team and who were the ones that stepped up their game. Stats are all that important in creating the best NFL Fantasy Football team.

Do not just focus on the major players. You must also take into consideration players that fared well last season. A good team manager always has eyes for a new and shining star. You can find some great steals for players that may not be as popular as the major players, but they're impressive just the same. You'll just have to take a look at their stats and you can probably spot a trend.

Equally important with statistics are injuries. Did any of your players of choice got injured? Obviously this is vital information because unhealthy players, especially those who underwent serious injuries the previous season, may have a slow start the next season and perhaps, not contribute at all. Understanding the health conditions of all players should be at the top of the to-do list of any good team manager.

Every fantasy league has a draft, but before you participate you must already have a well-researched list of players you would want to draft for your NFL Fantasy Football team. The importance of having a prepared list for your team comes true here. If you have researched your picks well enough, then should you not be lucky enough to get your top choices, then your second picks should be composed of almost equally impressive players. Players that can contribute great performances for your team.

These are the main points on how to pick your NFL Fantasy Football team. It's a combination of having great information for your team (stats), understanding each players (know if they had a good season or if they had injuries), and having a well-prepared and well-researched roster of players that you would want playing for you.




Chris Grisham is the creator of Sportsbook Investing, the premier website for making money with nfl fantasy football. He has successfully been beating sportsbooks for years using his proven system and top sports picks based on lines, trends, angles, and years of experience. Learn about his system for FREE at http://www.SportsbookInvesting.com

Tuesday, November 16, 2010

How to Pick a Winning Fantasy Football Team

So, you're wondering what goes into drafting a top-notch fantasy football squad huh? We'll that's surely something open to debate as that if you ask 10 different so-called experts, you'll probably get 10 different answers.

With that in mind, I have been running a fantasy league for about a decade now. While I can't tell you that I've won every time, I can assure you that my teams have consistently made the league playoff round and I have won 2 league titles. That's not too bad. That said, I'd like to offer up my strategy for building a competitive fantasy team.

Fantasy football has been around for decades. But, with the advent of the Internet, researching potential players for your team has become much, much easier and quicker. You can find the newest information online regarding injuries, suspensions, trades and just about everything else almost instantly. Take advantage of this.

1. PLAYER RANKINGS

First and foremost, you'll want to look into player rankings. One of the best ways of doing this is through a simple search on the web. I'd look for rankings done by established and reputable sources like ESPN, Sport Illustration, NFL.com, CBS Sportsline and such. But, don't rule out consulting one of the other listings that may not be among the names you're familiar with. They sometimes offer a fresh prospective that can be very useful.

2. DRAFTING

Drafts usually happen in one of two formats, live or auto. Live drafts are conducted in real time while auto drafts use your own player rankings to select your players automatically when your pick comes up in the order. Either way, a good approach is to take the player rankings you researched and select a number of players for each position that you would like to have as possible additions to your team. Create a list and use this as your intended drafting order.

Also make sure to avoid drafting too many players from the same team of teams that might have byes on the same week. You could end up with a disastrous shortage of players for a crucial match.

3. PLAYER VALUE

There are many different formulas for scoring in fantasy leagues. However, one rule generally remains the same. The players on which you should put the most emphasis are running backs. This is why most overall ranking systems that aren't done by position have a large number of running backs as the top ranking players.

Generally, you should emphasize positions in order of scoring value which from top to bottom would be running backs, quarterbacks, wide receivers, tight ends, defenses and finally place kickers. Although some might argue it a little differently, i.e. flip quarterbacks and wide receivers or to move defenses up to third on the priority list, this should give you a pretty good indication.

4. DON'T BREAK BUT BE WILLING TO BEND - THE RULES

While generally running backs should be your first pick, it is not unheard of to choose a wide receiver or quarterback first overall. There is nothing written in stone that says you have to have every player on your potential draft list being one of the top 5 or 6 guys according to researched rankings. Look for a possible breakout star here and there. You could end up with a pleasant surprise.




http://www.3riverscreative.com

Saturday, November 6, 2010

The Suite Life on Deck: #37 Any Given Fantasy Part 1

When Mr. Moseby forbids the students from playing football on the ship, they become interested in playing fantasy football. Kirby acts as a strict coach for Cody, who is being taught how to play football correctly, and Zack and Marcus dress up like mascots after London told them to do it or no golden trophy for winning the fanasty football game. Absent: Debby Ryan as Bailey Pickett Special guest star: Kurt Warner as himself Guest stars: Windell D. Middlebrooks as Kirby, Matthew Timmons as Woody Fink Note: This episode premiered on Disney XD on January 18, 2010. Disney Channel aired it on January 22, 2010. CREDITS TO KIDAUSSIE



http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=i3dLjGcfdOk&hl=en

Saturday, October 30, 2010

Why Ignoring Bye Weeks Can Help Your Fantasy Football Team Succeed

When involved in a draft, many fantasy football managers actively keep an eye on bye weeks. They will often sacrifice a better player for a lower performer because they already have someone at that position who is already out for the specified period. However, by ignoring this information, you can often do significantly better and come out with a higher record.

The reason people pay such close attention to their bye weeks is that their players can't play that week as they don't have a game. As a result, they'll need to pull players from their bench who might not be as good to use. What's more, with multiple players with bye weeks in the same week, team managers might not even be able to command a full active roster. As a result of this, having a number of players with the same week off from games can almost guarantee a loss as your entire team is unable to play that week.

However, is that such a big deal? Even if you lose one week in the season, it ultimately will not decide your position in the rankings. With a fantasy football season of 13 weeks, losing one week won't rule you out of the playoffs. However, settling for lower quality players in order to ensure you have players to field each week could result in lower numbers every week, making a much bigger impact on your overall record.

As such, when drafting players, especially starters for your fantasy football team, focus more on quality than bye weeks. The bye weeks might help you win a game, but the quality of the players will help you win the season.




Martin Fister is an active product blogger, writing for web sites including Polo Dress and Calvin Klein Bedding. In his spare time, Martin also pursues his interests in the music industry as a journalist.

Thursday, October 7, 2010

Fantasy Football Defense & Special Teams Secrets - Draft Day Do's and Dont's

DEFENSE ... DEFENSE ... DEFENSE ! The crowd loves screaming it, some teams love playing it, and you hate drafting it! One of the hardest things for some owners to decide is when to draft a Team Defense in their Fantasy Football League. I have never had a problem in this area, and really love watching people get hung up on picking one of the elite Defense / Special Teams every year. In this ongoing series of Fantasy Football Draft Day Do's and Dont's, I tackle Team Defenses next.

Do...

...check your 2009 NFL schedules! Find out which teams have the easiest Defensive schedule. It helps to know that the Saint Louis Rams have the league's easiest schedule, and Denver has one of the toughest. Green Bay has the most favorable schedule for a Defense this year, and has 11 Interception Returns for TDs since 2006.

Do...

...understand your league's scoring format! I played in a live league last year that was HEAVILY slanted toward Defenses. The owners who did not do their math were blindsided by defenses posting negative scores some weeks.

DON'T...

...forget to take into account the Defensive Coordinator moves! Everyone is talking about the changes in Green Bay with Dom Capers going from a 4-3 to a 3-4 scheme. But don't overlook Jacksonville and Arizona, who are revamping their teams Defenses into more of a hybrid D. The Seahawks, Chiefs and Colts all have new head coaches. Watch the Pre-Season games and make sure you know if these are positive or negative moves.

DON'T...

...pick too early! Ask any owner who nabbed the San Diego Chargers with a middle round pick last year, and then saw Shawn Merriman go down, if they are drafting a D early this year. Wait until everyone else starts the D train rolling, and if you are comfortable with your starters and backups at your skill positions, look around round 10 or 11 for a Defense, and if all the elite teams are taken, wait another couple of rounds.

Picking a Team D / Special Team can only hurt you if you go too early. The top 3 or 4 teams are better than the rest, but not by much. It entirely depends on how your league scores Defenses. To get your up to the minute stats and opinions, check out the NFL website and The Sporting News Fantasy Football Guide. I have used them for years, and that is where the above stats come from. Remember, waiting is the key for Team D.




Patrick O'Neill, an 18 year Fantasy Football Veteran, endorses only one Fantasy Football League
"Would you be interested in a league in which half the owners win? Weekly updated info for starts and sits? How about a whopping 90% payout and unlimited FREE trades? One low up-front fee and no hidden charges? SIGN UP TODAY and get paid in 2009.

Wednesday, October 6, 2010

Thursday, July 22, 2010

Home Teams Coming Off a Bye - Is There a Fantasy Football Player Advantage?

We all think of the negatives around the bye week for fantasy football purposes, but could there be a huge positive? Is it possible that rested players coming off a bye outperform their average weekly output? This article will explore whether or not there is a real advantage to starting players coming off a bye week who are playing at home.

The thinking here is that the extra rest and the comforts of playing at home will lead to higher player performance. To explore this we looked at a sampling of players we consider "starter-worthy" from the 2008 season and compared their home team post bye week performance to their average numbers for the year. The results were very interesting; lets take a look at the major skill positions.

Quarterbacks coming off a bye and playing at home averaged 316 yards per game. Interestingly, that was only 42 yards more than the average weekly output of the players in the sample from the quarterback position. Rather than focus on the additional fantasy point (assuming 40 passing yards=1 pt) we keep our attention on the 316 yards per game average. What that tells us is that by starting a quarterback coming off a bye at home you are almost guaranteed a big yardage game. The scenario seems to minimize the chance of a below average performance. These quarterbacks also averaged close to two TDs per game, which again is another indicator of above average play.

Running backs coming off a bye and playing at home averaged 77 yards per game, which was 20 yards higher than the seasonal average of the other running backs included in the sample. That translates to an average additional output of 2 fantasy points (assuming 10 yards=1 fantasy point). While these results are not as convincing to us as the quarterback numbers, it does appear that you can get decent production out of running backs playing under the home team coming off bye week scenario. Despite the slight increase in rushing yards, we did not see an advantage in overall TD output from running backs in the sample. At the end of the day, the running back position still comes down to match-ups. If the match-up is right, we would slightly bump up a home team post bye week running back.

Finally, wide receivers coming off a bye and playing at home averaged 104 yards per game. That is 42 yards above the average weekly output of the sample, which came in at 61 yards per game. That extra output translates to a full 4 fantasy points per game (assuming 10 yards=1 pt). In addition, the 104 yards per game average is again a very strong indicator that your top receivers will play above their average at home coming off the bye. Wide receivers also saw a slight increase in average TDs versus their seasonal average, which we view as further confirmation of the benefit gained by playing WRs in the home team coming off a bye scenario.

This analysis indicates that the passing game seems to benefit most from the week off and the home field advantage. The numbers are very convincing from the quarterback and wide receiver positions. Running backs do not seem to benefit from the scenario as much and we would not recommend significantly bumping up their value in the home team post bye scenario. In summary, we think we are on to something here. Feel free to elevate quarterbacks and wide receivers who are playing at home and coming off the bye week.




BleacherCreatureRotoTalk.com is a Fantasy Sports site intended to bring a scientific approach to player evaluation for fantasy baseball, football, basketball and now boxing! BCRT.com provides free news, statistics, and expert analysis of interesting trends which can give your fantasy team the competitive advantage it needs to crush your competition.

Read more at BleacherCreatureRotoTalk.com Fantasy Football.

Sunday, July 18, 2010

Fantasy Football Update: 6/15

What should you do about Plaxico Burress? How will Kyle Orton do in Denver and what is the latest in the offseason quarterback battles? Lauren Shehadi and Jamey Eisenberg are here to examine.



http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=i3KL3jYvZR8&hl=en

Monday, May 24, 2010

Great NFL Fantasy Football Action - How to Pick Your Team

So you're now the manager of your own football team in the National Football League. You are the owner and the manager at the same time so you have twice the responsibility to maintain a winning or at least a competitive team. Even if all of this is just NFL Fantasy Football, the thrill, excitement and the satisfaction is equally the same as that of the big league. And all good team managers know what is the most important: having the best players to start with.

While it is not the end of the world if your NFL Fantasy Football team ends up with not that great a lineup. You will never know what can happen in a season. All teams can be plagued by injuries, close calls or simply have a less than lucky season. The point is, it is not impossible for your team to have a great season even if you start with less impressive players for your NFL Fantasy Football team.

How To Pick Your Team

There are a lot of things that you should consider when you're picking for players in your NFL Fantasy Football team. Research is the key term here and you have to understand what your team and players have gone through in the previous season. You will have to know your team played well the last time, if they were winning, then by how much? Who were the key players in your team and who were the ones that stepped up their game. Stats are all that important in creating the best NFL Fantasy Football team.

Do not just focus on the major players. You must also take into consideration players that fared well last season. A good team manager always has eyes for a new and shining star. You can find some great steals for players that may not be as popular as the major players, but they're impressive just the same. You'll just have to take a look at their stats and you can probably spot a trend.

Equally important with statistics are injuries. Did any of your players of choice got injured? Obviously this is vital information because unhealthy players, especially those who underwent serious injuries the previous season, may have a slow start the next season and perhaps, not contribute at all. Understanding the health conditions of all players should be at the top of the to-do list of any good team manager.

Every fantasy league has a draft, but before you participate you must already have a well-researched list of players you would want to draft for your NFL Fantasy Football team. The importance of having a prepared list for your team comes true here. If you have researched your picks well enough, then should you not be lucky enough to get your top choices, then your second picks should be composed of almost equally impressive players. Players that can contribute great performances for your team.

These are the main points on how to pick your NFL Fantasy Football team. It's a combination of having great information for your team (stats), understanding each players (know if they had a good season or if they had injuries), and having a well-prepared and well-researched roster of players that you would want playing for you.




Chris Grisham is the creator of Sportsbook Investing, the premier website for making money with nfl fantasy football. He has successfully been beating sportsbooks for years using his proven system and top sports picks based on lines, trends, angles, and years of experience. Learn about his system for FREE at http://www.SportsbookInvesting.com

Wednesday, April 21, 2010

Great NFL Fantasy Football Action - How to Pick Your Team

So you're now the manager of your own football team in the National Football League. You are the owner and the manager at the same time so you have twice the responsibility to maintain a winning or at least a competitive team. Even if all of this is just NFL Fantasy Football, the thrill, excitement and the satisfaction is equally the same as that of the big league. And all good team managers know what is the most important: having the best players to start with.

While it is not the end of the world if your NFL Fantasy Football team ends up with not that great a lineup. You will never know what can happen in a season. All teams can be plagued by injuries, close calls or simply have a less than lucky season. The point is, it is not impossible for your team to have a great season even if you start with less impressive players for your NFL Fantasy Football team.

How To Pick Your Team

There are a lot of things that you should consider when you're picking for players in your NFL Fantasy Football team. Research is the key term here and you have to understand what your team and players have gone through in the previous season. You will have to know your team played well the last time, if they were winning, then by how much? Who were the key players in your team and who were the ones that stepped up their game. Stats are all that important in creating the best NFL Fantasy Football team.

Do not just focus on the major players. You must also take into consideration players that fared well last season. A good team manager always has eyes for a new and shining star. You can find some great steals for players that may not be as popular as the major players, but they're impressive just the same. You'll just have to take a look at their stats and you can probably spot a trend.

Equally important with statistics are injuries. Did any of your players of choice got injured? Obviously this is vital information because unhealthy players, especially those who underwent serious injuries the previous season, may have a slow start the next season and perhaps, not contribute at all. Understanding the health conditions of all players should be at the top of the to-do list of any good team manager.

Every fantasy league has a draft, but before you participate you must already have a well-researched list of players you would want to draft for your NFL Fantasy Football team. The importance of having a prepared list for your team comes true here. If you have researched your picks well enough, then should you not be lucky enough to get your top choices, then your second picks should be composed of almost equally impressive players. Players that can contribute great performances for your team.

These are the main points on how to pick your NFL Fantasy Football team. It's a combination of having great information for your team (stats), understanding each players (know if they had a good season or if they had injuries), and having a well-prepared and well-researched roster of players that you would want playing for you.




Chris Grisham is the creator of Sportsbook Investing, the premier website for making money with nfl fantasy football. He has successfully been beating sportsbooks for years using his proven system and top sports picks based on lines, trends, angles, and years of experience. Learn about his system for FREE at http://www.SportsbookInvesting.com

Tuesday, February 2, 2010

The Costs of Fantasy Football

Do you want to play fantasy football? Indeed, this game is gaining popularity among males and females of all ages. It's no longer a fight for the brawns but of the brains. The better you are with your knowledge of football leagues and the different strategies on how to win the game the higher your chance to become the ultimate champion in no time. There isn't too much pressure and yet you can play along with your favorite teams and even team players.

The ultimate question, however, is this: are there costs involved? It all depends on where and what team you are playing. Let us analyze the top-notches in fantasy football league.

Football League Manager

This league knows what the word custom means. You can set your own rules for the league and even categories of your scores. The administrators will be the ones that handle the scoring system. You can also choose among their comprehensive ways of stat categories. You can also enjoy live scoring, online drafts, and trades. You can pick the defensive players or go for waiver claims. But because it is your own league, you are responsible for the prizes that will be given away. The cost starts at a very small price of $69 though it can get higher as more extras are added.

CDM Fantasy Football

They can give you a complete point-style football game. There is moderate risk involved and rewards are given by the administrators. Scoring systems are simple. You can choose your own team of 22 players as well as manage each of them. There is a maximum value capital of $60 million. For the winners, there are cash prizes given, including $20,000.

Fees involved are usually entry as well as transaction fees. You can play the game either through phone, e-mail, fax, or the World Wide Web.

High Roller Fantasy Football

There is definitely large cash involved in here. In fact, it has one of the highest stakes in fantasy football. You can choose your own team composed of 20 fantasy football players. Scoring is rotisserie style. There is no cost for every transaction. You only have to pay the entry fee, and you can enjoy the game either online or through fax and mail.

Playoff Football Challenge

This is considered to be CDM Football Challenge's post-season version. There isn't an salary cap involved. You can create your own league that will play through the entire playoffs. Cash is given for leagues as well as overall matches. The ultimate winner can get $5,000. You only have to pay the transaction fees and, of course, entry fees to enjoy the game.

Fantasy Playoff Football

There are no fantasy values in Fantasy Playoff Football. This is the post-season version for the Budget Football. There are a total of 33 players involved. Twenty-two of them shall be active players while 11 are players on the bench. Grand prize for the winner will be $3,000. There are no transaction fees only entry fees. The method of playing is through the Internet. If you want to play the game in other forms such as voicemail, fax, phone, or mail, you need to pay a minimal surcharge for the transactions made.

Mid-Season Fantasy Football Challenge at Fan ball

You can choose your own football team and manage them, but you will be constrained to a salary cap of $55 million. Cash will be given during the weekly, league, and overall competition. The overall winner shall be rewarded with a grand prize worth $5,000. Cost involved is only for your entry fee. There is additional charges, however, if you decide to play the game other than through the World Wide Web.

Draft and Play Fantasy Football

You can participate in real-time online drafts as well as head-to-head matches every week. There will be 2 divisions composed of 4 teams each. These teams, made up of 10 players, meet during the playoffs. There is a cash prize for every winner of the league. You can play the game through the Internet after you have paid the entry fee.

The energy is surely mounting even in fantasy football. That's why even if there are costs involved, many are still more than willing to pay the price.




Regine Hehn owns and operates http://www.fun-fantasy-football.com - Fun With Fantasy Football.

Wednesday, January 13, 2010

How Important is an Elite Quarterback to Your Fantasy Football Team

Just how important is it to have a top tier quarterback on your fantasy football team? We have heard time and time again that the running back position is the most important slot to fill on your fantasy football team. In recent years with the emergence of the running back by committee we have begun to see the argument that a top WR may be worthy of a pick over a running back. The common belief on quarterbacks is that it is a deep position where you can still get acceptable performance from the average starter. This article will challenge that thesis and explore the fantasy football quarterback position in depth.

The one statistic that trumps all in fantasy football is the league championship. That is what we all strive for and is the ultimate measure of success. Taking a close look at my league over the last five years yields interesting results (Table 1). Every championship team over the past five years had a top tier quarterback. In fact, in three of the five sample years the championship team has had the number one ranked quarterback at the end of the season. In all five seasons, there was a never a champion without a top three quarterback. While the overall sample size is small (one league, five years) we still think the results are significant. So not only do you need to get lucky and avoid injury to win a championship, but you will also need maximum performance from the quarterback position to have a shot at the title.

Table 1.

Yr	        Player			Overall Rank

2008 Aaron Rodger #2
2007 Drew Brees #1
2006 Drew Brees #1
2005 Matt Hasselback #3
2004 Brett Favre #1

Next we took a look at the top 25 quarterbacks from 2008 to see if we could determine a cut off between the various grades of quarterback. The goal here is to answer the question: "Do you really need to go out and draft the #1 ranked quarterback, or are their other players who can be had later in the draft with an equal chance of finishing the season in the top 3? Looking at the top 25 quarterbacks from 2008 we can separate the distribution into 5 cohorts (Table 2). There is a clear difference in performance across the cohorts. What this tells us is that ranking quarterbacks based on tier is a valid methodology. Furthermore, selecting a quarterback from the first cohort (top 5 qb) should help to ensure that you finish the year with a top 3 quarterback and a shot at your league title. Another thing the distribution really emphasizes is large difference between the top and average quarterbacks.

Table 2.

Cohort		Avg Points	  Ranking

1 266 1-5
2 223 6-10
3 191 11-15
4 173 16-20
5 145 21-25

Lastly, we wanted to take a look at the variability in week-to-week performance across the top 25 quarterbacks. We have already established that the top tier quarterbacks put up more points over the length of the season, but just how consistent is this performance? If the top qbs are getting their numbers in a handful of games that should not really contribute as much to consistent fantasy winning. Table 3 breaks the top 25 quarterbacks up into 5 cohorts. Analyzing the standard deviation in weekly fantasy points across the 5 buckets indicates there is no difference in variability from the top cohort and bottom cohort of quarterbacks. What that means is the best quarterbacks in the league are just as likely to have a bad game as the mid-tier/lower-tier quarterback options. However, since the top tier qb's output is consistently higher they will produce more points throughout the season. In other words, a bad game from a top qb is a lot better than a bad game from a bottom tier qb.

Table 3.

Cohort		STDEV

1 30
2 24
3 34
4 32
5 38

So what have we learned? It appears that you need a top tier quarterback to win your league. The top quarterbacks put up more points and are no more erratic in the distribution of their scoring than an average quarterback. Drafting a quarterback projected to finish in the top 4 is a safe bet to ensure your quarterback is a top ranked player at the end of the season and you have a chance to win your fantasy football championship!




BleacherCreatureRotoTalk.com is a Fantasy Sports site intended to bring a scientific approach to player evaluation for fantasy baseball, football, basketball and now boxing! BCRT.com provides free news, statistics, and expert analysis of interesting trends which can give your fantasy team the competitive advantage it needs to crush your competition.

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Sunday, January 10, 2010

Fantasy Football 1-Week Frenzy Forecast

Just when you think you have this whole fantasy football thing figured out, last week happens. How else do you explain Tom Brady going from playing at a Super Bowl level to playing at a Pop Warner level, or Vincent Jackson breaking the hearts of every fantasy enthusiast who put him in their lineups? Alas, we are still here to do our part to help you put together the best lineup possible.

Quarterbacks 1

1) Peyton Manning (vs. Tennessee): Manning has a great match-up this week against the Titans, who he beat for 36 completions, 309 yards and three touchdowns back in Week 5, and who are second to last in pass defense and passing scores allowed. And yes, we know they've won their past five games, but in that time they've faced three teams currently in the bottom half of the league in passing offense and one team playing with a backup quarterback.

2) Tom Brady (@ Miami): A total of 237 passing yards with no touchdowns and two interceptions last week are shocking totals for Brady, especially considering that he was in the midst of a string of five consecutive 300-yard passing games. But a bounce back this week is very possible against a Miami pass defense that is 23rd in the league, and one that he threw for 310 yards and one score against in Week 9.

3) Drew Brees (@ Washington): Although no one can be blamed for using Brees this week, match-ups matter, and Washington has the No. 1 pass defense in the NFL. Only three opposing quarterbacks have thrown for 200 yards against the Redskins this season, and it's happened just once over their last eight games. And it's not as if Brees is immune to quality pass defenses - three times this season he's been held to fewer than 200 passing yards.

4) Matt Schaub (@ Jacksonville): Schaub is a great choice in any fantasy football scoring format, but considering the amount of completions he racks up, he's an especially good option in this one. He's third in the league in overall completions, and has at least 25 in each of his last four games. Jacksonville is 26th in the league in pass defense, and only six teams have allowed more touchdown passes than they have. In his last meeting with the Jags, back in Week 3, Schaub threw for 300 yards with three scores.

5) Philip Rivers (@ Cleveland): Rivers is quietly putting together a very good season, and has an impressive three-game stretch going where he hasn't thrown an interception and has completed at least 75 percent of his passes. Cleveland's horrible pass defense shouldn't offer him a great challenge.

6) Kurt Warner (vs. Minnesota): Though there's optimism surrounding his chances to play this week (concussion), and his match-up is a solid one, there's always a chance he doesn't play at all or gets knocked out of the competition.

Quarterbacks 2

1) Brett Favre (@ Arizona): Favre has been nothing short of remarkable this season, with an unheard of 8:1 touchdown-to-interception ratio (24 touchdown throws, three interceptions). Over his last four games, he has thrown 12 touchdowns and hasn't thrown an interception. Against the Cardinals, he should be golden; only three teams allow more passing yards per game than they do.

2) Aaron Rodgers (vs. Baltimore): Rodgers has thrown 14 touchdowns over his last six games, and just three interceptions, and all of those picks came in one contest. In his last two contests he's thrown for over 340 yards in each, and he's completed at least 25 passes in each of his last three games. Baltimore is in the top half of the league in pass defense, but they're not so imposing that you shouldn't consider using Rodgers.

3) Donovan McNabb (@ Atlanta): McNabb has had some very ordinary games of late, and over his last five contests, he's thrown six touchdowns and five interceptions. Though McNabb could very likely be without top receiver DeSean Jackson, he's still a solid option this week because his opponent, Atlanta, is putrid against the pass, ranking 27th in the league in that category and 22nd in passing touchdowns given up.

4) Carson Palmer (vs. Detroit): Palmer isn't putting up numbers like we've seen him do in the past, and in fact hasn't completed more than 20 passes in his last five games, but he's playing Detroit this week. The same Detroit that is dead last in pass defense, and who has allowed more touchdown passes than any team in the NFL.

5) Tony Romo (@ NY Giants): Romo has had a solid season overall, and is seventh in the league in passing yards, ahead of the likes of Brett Favre and Kurt Warner. Yet he hasn't completed more than 20 passes in either of his last two games, and the last time he faced the Giants, he threw for a season-low 127 yards with three interceptions and one score.

6) Ben Roethlisberger (vs. Oakland): Big Ben will suit up this week after sitting out last week's contest against the Ravens with concussion symptoms. This led to some controversy, at least within the Steelers' locker room, but that has since died down. Roethlisberger does have a tough individual match-up this week against Oakland, however; only four teams have allowed fewer touchdown passes than they have.

Quarterbacks 3

1) Joe Flacco (@ Green Bay): IFlacco seemed to have been mired in a slump in Weeks 8-11. He threw for over 200 yards just once in those games, and tossed just one touchdown and three interceptions. But he rallied last week, throwing for nearly 300 yards with one score and no picks, and though his opponent this week, the Packers, are sixth in the NFL in pass defense, only three teams have allowed more touchdown passes than they have.

2) Jay Cutler (vs. St. Louis): Since interceptions aren't a worry in this scoring format, Cutler's transgressions in that area needn't play a role in deciding whether to put him in your lineup, especially against a soft pass defense like the Rams possess. But his confidence does seem to be wavering, and he hasn't thrown for even 175 yards in either of his past two games, and in his past three games he's thrown a total of two touchdowns and eight picks.

3) Vince Young (@ Indianapolis): Young was simply spectacular last week, but don't let that cloud your judgment for his game at Indy this week. He was facing an atrocious pass defense in the Cardinals last week, and the Colts are a much more formidable foe, especially with Young playing on the road. Also, only the Jets have given up fewer touchdown passes than they have.

4) Matt Cassel (vs. Denver): After a truly mediocre start, Cassel seems to have found his footing a bit. He's thrown for 215 or more yards in three of his last four contests, along with five touchdowns and two interceptions during that time. It should also be noted that he'll give you at least a few points running the ball - he's had at least four rushing attempts in seven of his 10 games this year.

5) Matt Hasselbeck (vs. San Francisco): Fantasy football players are justifiably baffled by Hasselbeck, who went from throwing for 315 yards against Arizona three weeks ago to accumulating just 102 passing yards last week against the Rams. He's at home against the 49ers this week, and San Francisco is just 28th in the NFL in pass defense, but it's too difficult to trust Hasselbeck.

6) David Garrard (vs. Houston): Garrard simply doesn't thrown enough touchdowns to be a viable fantasy football option; among the 24 NFL quarterbacks with at least 280 pass attempts, he is tied with Jake Delhomme for the fewest touchdown passes, having thrown only eight.

Quarterbacks 4

1) Kyle Orton (@ Kansas City): Orton's season has been solid, if unspectacular. He's thrown for more than 250 yards just once this season, and over his last five games has just three touchdown passes, but you can't ignore who his opponent is this week - only two other teams allow more passing yards per game than the Chiefs.

2) Alex Smith (@ Seattle): Smith's career has been resurrected this season, and fantasy football enthusiasts have taken note. They should again this week as he matches up with the Seahawks, a team that is 25th in the league in pass defense and 27th in passing scores allowed.

3) Eli Manning (vs. Dallas): The last time Manning went up against the Cowboys, he blistered them for 330 yards and two scores, though you should take into account that that game was played back in Week 2. Manning is highly inconsistent and is also playing on a bad foot, so while his match-up is solid, can you really count on him?

4) Jason Campbell (@ Philadelphia): Campbell hasn't been a great quarterback this season, but his numbers haven't been atrocious, either. He's thrown for at least one touchdown in all but three games this year, and the last time he faced Philly, he had a season-high 29 completions, along with 284 yards and two scores.

5) Josh Freeman (@ Carolina): Freeman is getting plenty of accolades, and he's performed admirably in a couple games, but you'll probably want to avoid him this week. The Panthers have the No. 3 pass defense in the league, and are ninth in passing scores allowed.

6) Brady Quinn (vs. San Diego): Simply ignore Quinn.

Running Backs 1

1) Chris Johnson (@ Indianapolis): Johnson has been on a run that's as remarkable as anything the NFL or fantasy football has seen in some time. In his last six games, he's averaged 155 rushing yards on 23 carries (6.7 ypc), just over one touchdown (he has seven total in that span), and close to three receptions and 30 receiving yards per game.

2) Adrian Peterson (@ Arizona): Despite having only three games with at least 100 rushing yards, Peterson is still playing very well. He has 12 touchdowns in 11 games, and has already established a career-high with 27 receptions. Arizona has been killed on the ground of late, giving up 115 or more yards to an individual runner in four of their past five games.

3) Maurice Jones-Drew (vs. Houston): MJD has scored three rushing touchdowns in a game on two occasions this season, and one of them happened to be against the Texans, back in Week 3. He also caught four passes in that contest, one of seven times he's had at least that many receptions in a game. He's always an excellent option.

4) Rashard Mendenhall (vs. Oakland): No team has allowed more rushing yards to opposing running backs than the Raiders have, and only two teams have allowed opposing backs to score more touchdowns.

5) Steven Jackson (@ Chicago): Like Philip Rivers at quarterback, Jackson is quietly having an excellent season, though you can hardly blame anyone for not noticing that Jackson is the NFL's second-leading rusher because he's on a team that has won just one game. Nonetheless, he's always valuable in this scoring format not only because of the yards he piles up, but because of the amount of touches he receives.

6) Frank Gore (@ Seattle): Gore is always solid, but compared to the rest of this group, he doesn't get enough touches. He's carried the ball more than 16 times just twice all season, and has just 92 rushing yards over his past two games.

Running Backs 2

1) DeAngelo Williams (vs. Tampa Bay): Before last week's 40-yard performance, Williams had been averaging 127 yards over his previous six games. But he should come back with aplomb this week against a Tampa team that is 30th in the league in run defense, and against whom Williams had 152 yards and two scores against in Week 6.

2) Ray Rice (@ Green Bay): Over his last eight games, Rice has run for at least 70 yards six times (with one 69-yard effort), and has caught fewer than five passes just once. With receptions being three points each, that kind of production is highly valuable.

3) Ricky Williams (vs. New England): Williams has at least 20 carries, 100 yards and one touchdown in each of his three games since taking over for the injured Ronnie Brown in Miami. New England is tied for fewest rushing scores allowed, having given up just three all season, but one of the backs who found the end zone against them happened to be Williams.

4) Knowshon Moreno (@ Kansas City): Moreno has run for at least 80 yards in each of his past three games, and has a fantastic match-up this week against the Chiefs, who are 27th against the run and 22nd in rushing scores allowed.

5) Cedric Benson (vs. Detroit): Benson has missed two contests with a hip injury, but he's supposed to be back in the starting lineup this week. But Larry Johnson did a solid job filling in last week, and they may not want to overdo it with Benson this week.

6) Joseph Addai (vs. Tennessee): Addai simply is not putting up the numbers the other backs in this group have been; he's only run for 70 or more yards once all season, and has not carried the ball more than 20 times in any game.

Running Backs 3

1) LaDainian Tomlinson (@ Cleveland): Tomlinson has scored five times in his last three games, making up for otherwise ordinary numbers. He's not catching the ball like he used to (three receptions over his last five games), and he's run for at least 75 yards just once this year. But only three teams have allowed more rushing yards than the Browns, and only two teams have given up more rushing scores to opposing running backs.

2) Matt Forte (vs. St. Louis): Only the Bills have allowed more rushing scores to opposing running backs than St. Louis has, and if this were last season, Forte would be No. 1 on this list. As it is, he's struggling mightily this year running the ball. One thing that should be considered in this scoring format - he has averaged over five receptions per game in his last four contests.

3) Laurence Maroney (@ Miami): Over his last six games, Maroney has scored eight times, accounting for all of his touchdowns this season. Unfortunately, he also has lost a fumble in three consecutive games, and any more could mean fewer carries for him.

4) Kevin Smith (@ Cincinnati): Smith hasn't gained 70 or more rushing yards in eight games, and the Bengals are the No. 3-ranked rush defense in the league. The only thing saving him from being ranked last on this list is his ability to catch the ball.

5) Ryan Grant (vs. Baltimore): No doubt Grant has had a solid year, but a lot of things are working against him - Baltimore is seventh in run defense and allows the fewest yards per carry in the league, he doesn't catch the ball with regularity, and he sat out a practice this week with a stinger.

6) Tim Hightower (vs. Minnesota): Not only is Hightower going to lose more and more playing time to Beanie Wells, but he's going up against the team that is second in the NFL in run defense, and the team that is tied in allowing the fewest rushing scores in the league.

Running Backs 4

1) LeSean McCoy (@ Atlanta): Brian Westbrook remains out, and DeSean Jackson is likely to be sidelined as well, leaving McCoy to be an even bigger piece of the puzzle this week. Atlanta's defense is sub-par in every area, and they are just 23rd in the league against the run. Something else to note - only one team has given up more receiving touchdowns to running backs than the Falcons have.

2) Jamaal Charles (vs. Denver): Charles has scored a rushing or receiving touchdown in each of his last three games since taking over after Larry Johnson was cut. He's an explosive player who makes things happen, and now that he's getting an opportunity, he's making the most of it.

3) Cadillac Williams (@ Carolina): The Caddy has a very good match-up against the 26th-ranked Panthers run defense, and it is one he gained 77 yards and scored a touchdown against back in Week 6, but he's also done very little since then. He hasn't rushed for even 60 yards in his past five games, or run for over 3.7 yards per carry.

4) Pierre Thomas (@ Washington): If only he were the clear-cut No. 1. As it is, he shares time with a couple other running backs, and though he's productive with the carries he does get, he really doesn't get enough looks to put up the big numbers he might be able to elsewhere.

5) Steve Slaton (@ Jacksonville): The Texans are still having trust issues with Slaton due to his previous fumbleitis, and he's dealing with a neck malady, so we'll have to see how many touches he gets, and until then, it's not safe to trust him.

6) Beanie Wells (vs. Minnesota): Leave Wells on the bench against one of the best run defenses in the NFL.

Wide Receivers 1

1) Wes Welker (@ Miami): With only six catches for 32 yards, Welker had his worst game of the season last week. He'll right the ship this week against a Miami team that he burned for nine catches and 84 yards in Week 9. Welker leads the NFL in catches, even though he missed two weeks, and with receptions at three points each, you can't go wrong using him.

2) Reggie Wayne (vs. Tennessee): The man with the second-most catches this season is Wayne, and his match-up is beautiful. No team has allowed opposing wideouts to catch more passes or score more touchdowns, and they've also allowed opposing receivers to accumulate the second-most receiving yards (by one yard). Wayne had six catches for 60 yards and one score against the Titans in Week 5.

3) Andre Johnson (@ Jacksonville): Only three teams have given up more receiving yards and receiving scores than the Jaguars have, and Johnson is the perfect person to exploit that weakness. He had four catches for 86 yards against them back in Week 3.

4) Randy Moss (@ Miami): Moss leads the league in receiving yards, but you wouldn't know that by the way he's played the last two weeks. He's accumulated only 101 yards combined in those two games, though a reprieve could very much be in the works this week - he blistered the Dolphins for 147 yards on six receptions (including one touchdown) when he first met them in Week 9.

5) Chad Ochocinco (vs. Detroit): The Ocho has stunk over his last five games, with no more than five receptions in any of them, and not one contest of even 70 receiving yards. Yet he plays the Lions this week, and he can easily fatten up on them - they're dead last in pass defense and have passing touchdowns allowed.

6) Larry Fitzgerald (vs. Minnesota): If Kurt Warner plays, Fitzgerald should be moved up in the rankings, but if noodle-armed Matt Leinart goes again, there are too many other receivers in this group to choose from who have Pro Bowl quarterbacks throwing to them.

Wide Receivers 2

1) Vincent Jackson (@ Cleveland): Jackson's disappearance over the last three games has been troubling. He hasn't scored since in that time, and he's accumulated a total of seven catches and 93 yards. But he has to bust out of it at some point, and it would be no shock if he did so against the terrifically awful Browns.

2) Mike Sims-Walker (vs. Houston): Three times in his past five games, Sims-Walker has accumulated fewer than 50 receiving yards, but he has scored three times in that span, easing the pain that was inflicted by his lack of yards. In his last game against the Texans, in Week 3, he had six catches for 81 yards.

3)Roddy White (vs. Philadelphia): White has not been as productive this season as he was last year in terms of yardage, and if he hadn't been scoring so many touchdowns, he would be a real disappointment. Yet he does have seven on the season, and he scored last week for the first time in three games.

4) Marques Colston (@ Washington): Colston caught one of Drew Brees' five touchdown passes last week, which was one of his four receptions and 121 yards. It was his first score in three weeks, but don't be too confident he can repeat that feat this week. The Redskins have allowed the second-fewest catches by opposing wide receivers.

5) Anquan Boldin (vs. Minnesota): Boldin is, surprisingly, not among the top-25 players in receiving yards, and possibly even more surprisingly, has just two touchdown catches this season. He was starting to play better before Kurt Warner went out, and if Warner does play this week, Boldin is a much more viable option than if the weak left arm of Matt Leinart has to play.

6) Steve Smith (CAR) (vs. Tampa Bay): He had one reception for five yards last week. Five yards! Jake Delhomme is likely out, and though that's probably a good thing in the long run, it means the Panthers will simply rely more on the running game than usual this week.

Wide Receivers 3

1) Brandon Marshall (@ Kansas City): Just four teams have allowed more yards to opposing wide receivers than the Chiefs have, and Marshall typically destroys soft defenses. In two games against the Chiefs last season, he had 18 catches for 168 yards and three touchdowns.

2) Steve Smith (NYG) (vs. Dallas): After a bit of a three-game lull, Smith is back to catching oodles of passes. He's amassed seven or more receptions in three of his last four games, and has 65 or more yards in four of his last five games. And the last time he faced Dallas, he went ballistic, scoring once on one of his 10 receptions for 134 yards.

3) Santonio Holmes (vs. Oakland): Holmes finally did something that his fantasy owners have been waiting for since Week 1 - he scored his second touchdown of the season last week! Holmes has actually been playing very well of late, and that finally paid off. He has had at least six receptions and 74 receiving yards in each of his last four games.

4) Pierre Garcon (vs. Tennessee): Garcon is clearly the No. 2 man behind Reggie Wayne on the wideout depth chart in Indy. He had five receptions for 63 yards and one touchdown last week, and has at least 50 receiving yards in each of his last five games.

5) Robert Meachem (@ Washington): What hurts Meachem in this scoring format are his lack of receptions. And he also has a tough match-up this week, going up against the No. 1-ranked pass defense of the Redskins.

6) T.J. Houshmandzadeh (vs. San Francisco): If he can't get it done against the Rams, who can he get it done against? He's been a fantasy football bust all season.

Wide Receivers 4

1) Sidney Rice (@ Arizona): Of the top 15 players in terms of receiving yards, only Miles Austin is averaging more yards per reception than Rice's 17.2, a number that has catapulted Rice to third in the league in receiving yards despite just 56 receptions.

2) Derrick Mason (@ Green Bay): Mason has now had three very productive games in a row after his seven-catch, 62-yard, one touchdown performance last week against the Steelers. His opponent this week, the Packers, are sixth in the league in pass defense, but have also allowed more touchdown passes than all but three other teams.

3) Nate Burleson (vs. San Francisco): Burleson came up very short last week against the Rams, a team he should have torched. He managed just four receptions for 46 yards against a bad pass defense, and he failed to score for the sixth straight game. Burleson has a solid match-up against the 49ers, who are 28th in the NFL in pass defense.

4) Hines Ward (vs. Oakland): Ward apologized after being critical of Ben Roethlisberger last week after Big Ben didn't play due to a concussion. He insists there are no lingering hard feelings among the two, which is good, because that means Ward can go back to being one of the most productive wideouts in the NFL.

5) Santana Moss (@ Philadelphia): He's far too unreliable. There are much better options in this group.

6) Braylon Edwards (@ Buffalo): Edwards should not be used.

Wide Receivers 5

1) Calvin Johnson (@ Cincinnati): If you're going to take a chance on Megatron, now is as good a time as ever. He only caught two passes for 10 yards last week, but he did score a touchdown for the second straight week, and also has at least five receptions in five of the nine games he's played this season.

2) Percy Harvin (@ Arizona): Harvin's best game as a pro came last week, as he caught a touchdown for the second week in a row while setting career-highs in receptions (six), receiving yards (101) and rushing yards (45). Against the Cardinals' 30th-ranked pass defense, more career-highs are possible.

3) Donald Driver (vs. Baltimore): Driver tore up the Lions on Thanksgiving and has had a nice layoff since then to rest his 34-year-old body. He's only caught fewer than four passes in a game just one time this season, and has scored in three of his last six contests.

4) Devin Hester (vs. St. Louis): Hester is in a big-time slump, and although the Rams can break any offensive player out of their malaise, his inconsistency should be worrisome. Hester has only 86 receiving yards in his last three games.

5) Donnie Avery (@ Chicago): Avery plays in an inconsistent offense with a quarterback that is named Kyle Boller. Probably best to avoid him.

6) Greg Jennings (vs. Baltimore): He's being outplayed by his teammate, the far more consistent Donald Driver.

Tight Ends 1

1) Tony Gonzalez (vs. Philadelphia): No team has allowed opposing tight ends to catch more passes than Philly has, and only one team has allowed more receiving yards and touchdowns to players at that position. Even with Matt Ryan sidelined, Gonzalez should not be penalized.

2) Dallas Clark (vs. Tennessee): Clark, who has caught a touchdown in two straight games, last played the Titans in Week 5, a game in which he caught nine passes for 77 yards. He's caught seven or more passes in seven of his 11 games this season, and that can add up to huge points in this scoring format.

3) Antonio Gates (@ Cleveland): Only six teams have allowed more touchdown passes to opposing tight ends then Cleveland, and Gates recently broke out of a funk last week against the Chiefs, catching seven balls for 118 yards and two scores.

4) Vernon Davis (@ Seattle): When Alex Smith made the transition to starting quarterback, he undoubtedly wanted to get his tight end involved. That's most certainly happened, as Davis has had at least one touchdown reception or 100 receiving yards (or both) in all but one of the six games the 49ers have played since Smith took over.

5) Jason Witten (@ NY Giants): Witten had his first 100-yard game of the season last week, and it was a long time coming for the preseason No. 1 fantasy football tight end. He has been consistent in catching the ball this season, catching exactly five passes in each of his last three games, and he doesn't have fewer than four receptions in any contest this year.

6) Visanthe Shiancoe (@ Arizona): Over his last eight games, Shiancoe has scored seven times. That's a great number, but within the context of this group of tight ends, he's not the top option on his team the way the other players here are.

Tight Ends 2

1) Brent Celek (@ Atlanta): Celek just signed a $33 million extension, and is certainly facing the right opponent in which to do prove he deserves that contract. Atlanta has allowed opposing tight ends to catch more passes than all but four other squads, and only three teams have allowed opposing tight ends to gain more receiving yards.

2) Greg Olsen (vs. St. Louis): Olsen is a solid play each week due to the fact that the Bears have a dearth of options at the receiver position, and the Rams have certainly been beaten by opposing tight ends before.

3) Kellen Winslow (@ Carolina): Winslow managed only 29 yards on three receptions the last time he squared off against the Panthers, but with rookie quarterback Josh Freeman at the helm, the situation is different this time around.

4) Zach Miller (Oakland Raiders): Bruce Gradkowski has really been beneficial to Miller - after little production over most of the season, he's combined for 10 receptions and 136 yards the last two weeks.

5) John Carlson (vs. San Francisco): With six catches for 46 yards in Week 2, one of Carlson's most productive games of the season came against San Francisco. That statistic alone should tell you how disappointing he's been this season.

6) Heath Miller (vs. Oakland): Despite how bad Oakland is, they completely shut down opposing tight ends - they are one of just two teams not to have allowed a touchdown reception by someone at that position.



Friday, January 1, 2010

Different Types of Fantasy Football Leagues

Interest in fantasy football is growing by leaps and bounds. If you are interested in owning a fantasy football team, one of the most important decisions you will need to make will be in regards to the type of league you should join. There are many different types of fantasy football leagues and it is important to make the right decision. Read on for tips to help you understand the different types of teams and decide which one is right for you.

The most popular type of leagues are the standard draft leagues. These types of leagues are begun with teams in which the players are selected in a serpentine style of draft. Lineups can then be selected by the owners on a weekly basis. This is usually based on the number of players per position as allowed by league rules. There are actually two different types of standard draft leagues. These are total points and head to head. The difference between the two is that with a head to head league each team is matched up against a different team each week. The team that receives the most points is recorded as the winning team. Teams with the best records at the end of the season play in playoff games at the end of the season in order for a final champion to be determined. With a total points league, wins and losses are not tracked. Instead, points are accumulated on a continual basis. Standings are then determined according to the total points of the teams. At the end of the regular season, the teams with the highest number of total points meet for playoff games.

The auction draft league can also be comprised of either a total points system or a head to head system. Unlike the standard draft league; however, the auction draft league utilizes owners who have an amount of money that is predetermined that they can bid on for players to complete their rosters.

With the dynasty league, players are on the same roster from one season to the next unless they are released or they are traded. Drafts are held for rookies only after the first season.

Keeper leagues combine some of the features between dynasty leagues and standard draft leagues. A draft is held before the beginning of every regular season in order for many of the players to be drafted; however, owners can keep a select number of players from the prior season.

IDP leagues use defensive players in an individual manner rather than in defensive units. This type of league can be a bit harder to organize for the owners because it means more thought will usually need to be given to filling the other positions.

A survivor leagues uses just about any kind of draft you wish; however, they most commonly use auction or standard style drafts. The main difference between this type of league and all of the other leagues is that each week one team is eliminated based on who scores the least number of points.




Joe Kenny writes for the UK soccer forum [http://footballtalk.org/forums] site, FootballTalk.org. Join the football forum [http://footballtalk.org] for free today and have your say!

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Thursday, December 31, 2009

Making a Running Back by Committee Work For Your Fantasy Football Team

This article will explore the newest twist for fantasy football owners - the running back by committee (RBBC). In the past, most NFL teams have had one feature back who received approximately 30 carries a game. The thinking was that a runner needed that many carries to establish a rhythm and run effectively. Today's game has changed. The RBBC situation is now so common almost all teams utilize it. The thinking is that the RBBC allows backs to stay fresh. In addition, the RBBC is often implemented with a bruising power back and a quick scat back runner; a combination intended to keep the opposing defense off balance by switching up running styles.

What does this mean for fantasy football? In past years, fantasy football was completely dominated by the running back position. A good RB was a lock to touch the ball multiple times a game as well as to score more TDs than every other position. With the RBBC, that is no longer true. So what is one to do? Is it best to draft the entire committee or spread your RBs around in hopes that you draft two high performers? Lets explore the options:

The Home Run Strategy - Draft the Best RBs Regardless of RBBC Scenario
PROS : If you do not have to deal with injuries great, you have an excellent shot to win your league. You will have the most valuable player in the RBBC from different teams.
CONS: While you may have come into the season with the best RB on two different teams, if one goes down to injury you can quickly find yourself in a tough situation.

The Anti-Wall Street Risk Adverse Strategy
PROS: Here you try to draft an entire team's committee. If one of the players gets hurt you instantly have a feature back.
CONS: If there is not an injury you are stuck with part time production from two players for the season.

The Ace Rothstein Strategy - The Educated Bettor
PROS: This strategy says you draft players who are second in the committee, but play alongside another player with a history of injury. Ideally you would be to try to get one feature back and pair him with a number of #2's who have a realistic chance to step in at some point in the season.
CONS: The risk here is that the #2, never becomes a #1.

Like investing, the strategy you choose to employ should be based on your level of comfort with risk. We recommend the Ace Rothstein theory, as the #2 that becomes a #1 is often the breakout story of the year come playoff time.
Having fully explored the RBBC situation there are still a few old school running backs who dominate carries and do not need to worry about having carries or even worse goal carries stolen.

non RBBC RBs
All-Day AP
Turner the Burner
MJD
Matt Forte
S.Jackson
C.Portis
K.Smith
R.Grant

The other 24 NFL teams use some form of the RBBC. To summarize, following the Ace Rothstein theory we would target one of the eight backs listed above, then go after a WR and QB and finally look to pair your RB with a number of second string RBBC backs who run alongside an injury risk.




For more fantasy football analysis check out BleacherCreatureRotoTalk.com
Fantasy Football

Sunday, December 27, 2009

Fantasy Football Tips and Tricks for Chicks

Depending on what hour of the day you're reading this, there are 10 days, 3 hours, 50 minutes, and 45 seconds left until the 2008 NFL draft. Ladies, now is the time for us to act! If we're really going to give the men a run for their money this fantasy football season, it's time for us to start doing our homework now.

Draft date is an important day to pay attention to when you're beginning to make decisions that will affect your fantasy football team, so be prepared on April 26th and 27th to host a "girl's night" in front of the TV and see which football player is going to what team. This information will be extremely helpful to you when you begin planning your women's fantasy football team. (Plus, you get to see the football players run around in their tight pants and who doesn't love that?)

Women fantasy football owners are becoming more and more prevalent in an otherwise male-dominated realm of fantasy sports. It's scary to get out there and play with the big dogs, I know. But recently I've found the entertainment value and the excitement that can be had while playing fantasy football and I want to be a part of that regardless of the fact that I'm a chick! Chicks can play fantasy football just as well or better than men can and this season we're going to prove it.

Don't worry if you're clueless about fantasy football; I'm going to teach you all you need to know! The second step is preparing for your league's draft. There are a few ways the draft of your league can happen.



  • Electronic Draft -- This is how almost every fantasy football league drafts nowadays. Everything is done in cyberspace! You can decide just how lazy you want to get with it, however, as there are websites that give you information only, all the way to websites that will completely manage your team for you. Just how e-lazy do you want to be?


  • Social Draft -- Meet at a girlfriend's house and make a day of it. Invite all the women who'll be participating in the women's fantasy football revolution and plan a party! "Experts" suggest you leave out the alcohol so you'll be focused on the draft, but us chicks know that fantasy football should also be fun! Just make sure to have everyone's cheat sheet handy and you can draft from that. (More about cheat sheets and other tools you'll need later.)


  • Destination Draft -- Easily my favorite type of draft, this one usually involves getting on a plane and flying to somewhere warm and breezy. Destination drafts are more like a fantasy football draft pick and vacation combo. You and your posse of girls will really turn some heads at a sports bar in Vegas, sitting around waiting to pick your perfect fantasy football team. Doesn't that sound like fun?


Then, get yourself ready to win. Watching the NFL draft is a great next step because you'll start to familiarize yourself with the powerful players you'll want to put at each position in your fantasy football team. Not only will you hear the names of some of the top NFL draft players, but you're likely to pick up a few statistics about their skills. If you really want to do this, join me in the women's fantasy football revolution! It's going to be an awesome ride and now's the time to get on.




Start here to learn more about the first step, selecting a fantasy football league.

Diana Nielsen maintains Fantasy football tips and tricks for chicks and scrapes together a living as a freelance writer so check her out for all your personal and professional writing needs.

Monday, November 16, 2009

How to Pick a Fantasy Football Team

When learning how to pick a fantasy football team you need to pay extra attention to what has gone on for the specific team in the offseason. Here are some questions to ask yourself about the team you are going to choose:

What offseason trades have happened to benefit the team?

Did your team have a good NFL draft?

Who is injured on your fantasy football team?

These 3 questions are vital in determining and choosing your next NFL fantasy football team. If you pick a team where they had no injuries and great offseason acquisitions you can expect to see your fantasy football rankings shoot through the roof. You can get the latest sporting news fantasy football updates right to your phone even, so there is no excuse not to be up-to-date when making your NFL fantasy football predictions. There are many players stocks rising and many players stocks falling dramatically. Sometimes you can catch a players stock falling almost near the bottom, draft them, and earn a huge return on a draft pick that low. These are your money maker picks right here and make up the difference between a winning fantasy football player and a losing fantasy football player. Knowing all your fantasy football player ratings will help you greatly on draft day. You can surprise all your friends by becoming the greatest fantasy football player to ever play the game if you do your homework and play your cards right. There are some steals out there on no name players ready to shine this year in the NFL. Your fantasy football draft has never been so better when you find standout players for cheap.

If you want to make some money this year on the NFL season, placing an NFL football bet will be your best bet by far. Take it from me; I have been making a stable income betting on sports for years! Last year I made a total of $120,000 betting on ALL sports last year. Out of that 120K I made last year, around 80k of it was JUST on FOOTBALL bets. The type of football bet depends on the NFL lines and who is playing who. The majority of the times if you can find a steal where the lines are great for a home team, take them.

A football bet tip you will always remember is to find a sports handicapper that spends 8+ hours a day researching each and every pick to give you guaranteed winners. You can find a professional handicapper for cheap, 50 dollars a month or less. Not only will you ONLY pay 50 dollars a month or less, if you do not profit for the month you are FULLY refunded. There are definitely companies out there that offer services like this, you just have to do your research and find one. Once you find one you will be able to quit your day job, buy a new house, a new car, and live a comfortable life just like I have been doing for years. I wish you the best of luck!




Chris Grisham is a professional sports bettor living in the USA. For the past decade he has been consistently winning any sports he wagers on using his proven system based on his How to Pick a Fantasy Football Team system. Find about his system for FREE at http://www.SportsbookInvesting.com

breezeshopmall

Friday, October 30, 2009

Are you Ready For Fantasy Football?

To be honest, I knew very little about fantasy football. I was one of those sports fans who follows football when it is in season, watches some games on TV, follows games on the internet, somehow remembers every score and stat, and then gets really excited during the playoffs and, of course, the Super Bowl. I don't have the time or money to go see actual NFL games, though I am sure I'd greatly enjoy them.

Anyway, I kept seeing ads for fantasy football online and in other places wondered what it was, so I did some research. Apparently, fantasy football is a sports game for those who want to be involved with football all year round. And not just involved as in watching games, but actually owning, managing and running a "fantasy" football team. When the real football season starts - and it can be the NFL or a division of the NCAA or some other league - scores in the fantasy football leagues are determined by using statistics compiled by actual players.

Who started fantasy football, and when? It all goes back almost 50 years when a limited partner in the Oakland Raiders and some of his sports writer and editor friends cooked up the idea during a long road trip. When they got back, they started the first fantasy football league. Initially, it was hard to form leagues and keep the information flowing, but then came personal computers and finally the Web. Today, fantasy football is big business and fantasy football team fanatics are being courted by television networks and advertisers because they watch more games, buy more tickets, and spend more on their sport than average fans.

But how does it all work? The big attraction of fantasy football is that it's not just watching games. Fantasy football is living the game and actively participating in it. You pick a team, you draft players, you follow rules, you observe salary caps and negotiate contracts. Franchise owners may have to pay (fictional) taxes, trade players, and, of course, try to win games and championships, establish dynasties or make to a coveted Hall of Fame. Things can get quite competitive, but you make friends in the process and many of the same teams play each other season after season.

Fantasy football games have as many rules as the real thing. Scoring can be complex as it depends on the stats of actual players on actual teams. And since fantasy league teams have players from a number of teams, a fantasy franchise owner often doesn't know which real-world team he should root for! What's important here is that the real performance and stats of real players in real games decides how well your fantasy team does. So picking and drafting the right players is very important.

How do you get started with this fascinating and addictive pastime? Fantasy football information is easy to come by on the web. Look around, check some of the many leagues, and then sign up with one and become a team owner. There are any number of leagues with different flavors and rules (the commissioner usually determines the scoring system). Some leagues cost a lot, but others are affordable and suit the novice as well as the expert fantasy football player. Give it a shot!




Chris Robertson is an author of Majon International, one of the worlds MOST popular internet marketing companies on the web. Learn more about Are you Ready For Fantasy Football? or Majon's Sports directory